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Saturday, May 23, 2015

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

All though this game is worth something, but not so much as to think that this game will be a rain of goals and even thrashed Borussia, given the odds indicated.

To clarify what this game is worth: Borussia Dortmund and Werder are tied for 7th and 8th position with 43 points, Augsburg, 6th place and last team to go to the Europa League, has 46 points and balance -2. If he loses to Gladbach, keeping the 46 points can be overcome, but only by Borussia, since the balance of Werder is very negative (-14).

Now, there's another point. Borussia needs only a draw here to ensure the 7th place, which for him would serve to wave the Europa League because it is already in the final of the German Cup and win the tournament gives the vacancy for the competition, and if the Borussia miss the final for Wolfsburg, as this is already guaranteed in the next Champions League, the position dedicated to the pantry would be open in the league, ranking thus also the seventh placed.

Then, the Borussia does not have much interest to win this game for that scenario, focusing on the possible objectives. However, being the last home game of the season and, more importantly, last game of Jurgen Klopp at the Signal Iduna Park in front of the yellow wall.

So then, the game's tendency to be balanced as the very placement of the teams in the table suggests, as well as the history and the odds offered, I believe that under 3.5 goals is the best bet here. Just twist to be no motivation that exacerbated the Borussia team to give a special outcome to Jurgen Klopp, it deserves, and the game will walk the way we expect.

Ah! I ended up making the mistake of not talking about the Werder in the analysis. Well, the only chance the team achieve Europa League is winning this game and cheering for Wolfsburg in the Cup final. So I think rather that they will try to win here, but will make it, as did the clashes with Borussia Dortmund in recent years: closing very well, trying to score on the break and administering any advantage it has obtained at some point in departure. That is, a behavior that contributes to our bet.

Date:23-5-2015 14:30
Pick: Under 4.5 @ 1.40
Category: germany - Bundesliga
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